China announces 7-10% cut in GHG emissions by 2035; experts call it modest
China’s targets could have been more ambitious, but its real world investments in low carbon technologies — domestically and globally — will have an undeniably positive impact on global emissions, ” said Avantika Goswami, Programme Manager, Climate Change, Centre for Science and Environment. China on Wednesday announced an update to its carbon dioxide emissions reduction target (or Nationally Determined Contribution, NDC) at the United Nations Climate Summit , positioning itself as the global leader in tackling the climate crisis ahead of the big UN Climate meeting (COP30) in Brazil, although experts adjudged the NDC itself as extremely modest China will also expand the installed capacity of wind and solar power to over six times the 2020 levels, striving to bring the total to 3,600 gigawatts. Xi added that the total forest stock volume will surpass 24 billion cubic metres. China’s NDC suggests emissions will peak before 2035, although some assessments show them as having already peaked. Experts said the NDC, while not being in alignment with the steep cuts required to meet the targets laid out in the Paris Agreement, still has major significance because of China’s posturing in climate action. India is yet to update its NDC, and it is not clear whether it will do so before COP30, although the general expectation is that it will. Signalling commitment “China’s updated NDC is an important step forward, one that can drive a deeper shift toward a cleaner, more sustainable energy future. China’s transition is moving into deep water, where difficult policy choices must be made just as national emissions are poised to peak. What matters now is preparing capital and speeds a shorter plateau and faster structural decline in emissions, ” said Ember’s senior analyst for China, Muyi Yang. In December , the Biden administration submitted its NDC 3.0, but President Donald Trump, who took office a month later, has since withdrawn the US from the Paris Agreement. The European Union (EU) has submitted a “statement of criticised the range, saying it is not as ambitious as they expected. The EU is still to forge a consensus on an ambitious NDC as Germany, France, and Hungary have not yet come on board. An EU NDC may come through ahead of the COP30 in November. Experts are concerned that the EU is not taking the leadership that it is normally expected to and attribute this, in part, to the rise of the right wing in certain states, which have a different set of priorities, their domestic economic conditions, and more investments in defence. In his speech, Xi said green and low-carbon transformation is the trend of the times. He added that the international community should take the right direction with firm confidence and move forward with new NDCs and inject more positive energy into global climate governance cooperation. He also said countries should advance the global green transformation by upholding fairness and equity and fully respect the development rights of developing countries. Finally, he said countries should strengthen coordination in green technologies and industries. “China’s unveiling of its NDC is a show of commitment to the multilateral climate regime, and the desire to keep advancing ambition of shared climate goals. With its role as a dominant electrostate (one where electricity is the dominant source of energy), China’s actions will shape the coming decades in energy, as the US retreats further into fossil fuel entrenchment. China’s targets could have been more ambitious, but its real world investments in low carbon technologies — domestically and globally — will have an undeniably positive impact on global emissions, ” said Avantika Goswami, Programme Manager, Climate Change, Centre for Science and Environment.
