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Experts warn of heat risks as India's temperatures climb again

Extreme temperatures across India are having their worst impact in the country's teeming megacities, experts said Thursday, warning that the heat is fast becoming a public health crisis. India is enduring a crushing heatwave with temperatures in several cities sizzling well above 45 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit). Temperature readings in the capital New Delhi rose into the high 40s Celsius this week, with power usage in the city -- where the population is estimated at more than 30 million -- surging to a record high on Wednesday. "Cities are more vulnerable to the compounding effects of urbanisation and climate change," said Aarti Khosla, director at research institute Climate Trends. "Expect a greater number of hotter days, prolonged dry spells and less rainy days as weather patterns continue to change due to increased human emissions," she told AFP. - Heat ward and ice baths - In Delhi's Ram Manohar Lohia hospital, a specialised unit is busy treating patients with heat-related illnesses. Equipped with immersion ice baths, the unit has treated eight heat-struck patients in the past week. One person died Wednesday, medics said, with a body temperature that had surged to a fatal 41.5C (106.7F). Among those admitted to the unit were manual labourers, most aged between 40 and 50, who work under the blazing sun. "Treatment depends upon very quick, very rapid intervention and very rapid cooling," hospital director Ajay Shukla said, warning that the mortality rate for severe cases is around "60-80 percent". The rising temperatures hit the vulnerable the hardest, including those on the economic margins, experts said. "When the individual is dehydrated, extreme heat exposure will thicken their blood and cause organs to shut down, resulting in death within hours, popularly called 'heat stroke’," said Vidhya Venugopal, director at Sri Ram Institute of Higher Education and Research in Chennai. "We urgently need... action to protect exposed populations." - 'About survivability' - India is no stranger to searing summer temperatures but years of scientific research have found climate change is causing heatwaves to become longer, more frequent and more intense. The highest confirmed temperature ever recorded in India was 51C (123.8F), in Phalodi on the edge of Rajasthan's Thar Desert in 2016. Khosla, from Climate Trends, described heatwaves as "the single largest threat to India's well-being today", adding that recent high temperatures were "proof that the issue is now about survivability". No relief comes at night. A study published by New Delhi's Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) this month said Indian cities were not cooling down after sunset as much as they had in the decade of 2001-2010. It found temperatures then had dropped after dusk nearly 2C more than today. "Hot nights are as dangerous as midday peak temperatures," it said. "People get little chance to recover from daytime heat... exerting prolonged stress on the body." - 'Caused by burning coal' - Researchers say human-induced climate change has driven the devastating heat impact in India and should be taken as a warning. "The suffering India is facing this week is worse because of climate change, caused by burning coal, oil and gas and deforestation," said Friederike Otto, a climatologist at the Imperial College London and director of World Weather Attribution. The world's most populous nation is the third-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases but has committed to achieve a net zero emissions economy by 2070 -- two decades after most of the industrialised West. For now, it is overwhelmingly reliant on coal for power generation. The government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is seeking a third term in ongoing elections, says the fossil fuel remains central to meeting India's rising energy needs and lifting millions out of poverty. "What we are seeing in India is exactly what scientists said would happen if we didn't stop heating the planet," Otto said.

Cities Worst Hit By Heatwaves, Say Experts, Warn Of Hotter Days

New Delhi, India: Extreme temperatures across India are having their worst impact in the country's teeming megacities, experts said Thursday, warning that the heat is fast becoming a public health crisis. India is enduring a crushing heatwave with temperatures in several cities sizzling well over 45 degrees Celsius. Temperature readings in the capital New Delhi rose into the high 40s Celsius on Wednesday, with power usage in the city -- where the population is estimated at more than 30 million -- surging to a record high. Indian media reports said Thursday that a labourer in the city had died of heatstroke. "Cities are more vulnerable to the compounding effects of urbanisation and climate change," said Aarti Khosla, director at research institute Climate Trends. "Expect a greater number of hotter days, prolonged dry spells and less rainy days as weather patterns continue to change due to increased human emissions," she told AFP. Khosla described heatwaves as "the single largest threat to India's well-being today", adding that recent temperatures in Delhi and the surrounding region were "proof that the issue is now about survivability". India is no stranger to searing summer temperatures but years of scientific research have found climate change is causing heatwaves to become longer, more frequent and more intense. A study published by New Delhi's Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) this month said cities were not cooling down at night as much as they had in the 2001-2010 decade. It found the maximum temperature decline was nearly 2 degrees Celsius smaller than previously. "Hot nights are as dangerous as midday peak temperatures," it said. "People get little chance to recover from daytime heat slaughter if temperatures remain high overnight, exerting prolonged stress on the body." The highest confirmed temperature ever recorded in India was 51 degrees Celsius, in Phalodi on the edge of Rajasthan's Thar Desert in 2016. Researchers say human-induced climate change has driven the devastating heat impact in India and should be taken as a warning. "The suffering India is facing this week is worse because of climate change, caused by burning coal, oil and gas and deforestation," said Friederike Otto, a climatologist at the Imperial College London and director of World Weather Attribution. "What we are seeing in India is exactly what scientists said would happen if we didn't stop heating the planet," she said. The world's most populous nation is the third-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases but has committed to achieve a net zero emissions economy by 2070 -- two decades after most of the industrialised West. For now, it is overwhelmingly reliant on coal for power generation.

Experts Warn of Heatwaves as India Braces for Climbing Temperatures

Experts are sounding the alarm as India’s megacities reel under a relentless heatwaves, with temperatures soaring above 45 degrees Celsius (113 degrees Fahrenheit) in several urban centers. The scorching conditions have prompted concerns of a burgeoning public health crisis. New Delhi, home to over 30 million people, witnessed temperatures surpassing 40 degrees Celsius, accompanied by record-breaking power consumption. Tragically, reports emerged of a laborer succumbing to heatstroke in the capital city. According to Aarti Khosla of Climate Trends, urbanization and climate change exacerbate the vulnerability of cities to extreme heat. With climate patterns shifting due to human emissions, Khosla warns of more frequent and intense heatwave, posing a grave threat to India’s well-being. Recent research by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) reveals that Indian cities are experiencing warmer nights, providing little respite from the scorching daytime temperatures. The study emphasizes the danger posed by hot nights, prolonging stress on the body and hindering recovery from daytime heat exposure. The impact of climate change on India’s heatwaves is undeniable, with the country experiencing longer, hotter summers. Friederike Otto, a climatologist, attributes India’s suffering to human-induced climate change, stressing the urgent need to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Despite commitments to achieve net zero emissions by 2070, India remains heavily reliant on coal for energy production. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government defends the use of fossil fuels to meet energy demands and alleviate poverty, even as the nation grapples with the dire consequences of climate change. As India confronts the harsh realities of an escalating heatwave, the urgent call to address climate change grows louder, emphasizing the critical need for sustainable energy policies to safeguard public health and mitigate the devastating impacts of extreme weather events.

Experts warn of heat risks as India's temperatures climb again

A study published by New Delhi's Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) this month said Indian cities were not cooling down after sunset as much as they had in the decade of 2001-2010. It found temperatures then had dropped after dusk nearly 2C more than today. "Hot nights are as dangerous as midday peak temperatures," it said. "People get little chance to recover from daytime heat... exerting prolonged stress on the body."

Experts warn of heat risks as India's temperatures climb again

New Delhi: Extreme temperatures across India are having their worst impact in the country's teeming megacities, experts said Thursday, warning that the heat is fast becoming a public health crisis. India is enduring a crushing heatwave with temperatures in several cities sizzling well above 45 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit). Temperature readings in the capital New Delhi rose into the high 40s Celsius this week, with power usage in the city -- where the population is estimated at more than 30 million -- surging to a record high on Wednesday. "Cities are more vulnerable to the compounding effects of urbanisation and climate change," said Aarti Khosla, director at research institute Climate Trends. "Expect a greater number of hotter days, prolonged dry spells and less rainy days as weather patterns continue to change due to increased human emissions," she told AFP. Heat ward and ice baths In Delhi's Ram Manohar Lohia hospital, a specialised unit is busy treating patients with heat-related illnesses. Equipped with immersion ice baths, the unit has treated eight heat-struck patients in the past week. One person died Wednesday, medics said, with a body temperature that had surged to a fatal 41.5C (106.7F). Among those admitted to the unit were manual labourers, most aged between 40 and 50, who work under the blazing sun. "Treatment depends upon very quick, very rapid intervention and very rapid cooling," hospital director Ajay Shukla said, warning that the mortality rate for severe cases is around "60-80 percent". The rising temperatures hit the vulnerable the hardest, including those on the economic margins, experts said. "When the individual is dehydrated, extreme heat exposure will thicken their blood and cause organs to shut down, resulting in death within hours, popularly called 'heat stroke'," said Vidhya Venugopal, director at Sri Ram Institute of Higher Education and Research in Chennai. "We urgently need... action to protect exposed populations." 'About survivability' India is no stranger to searing summer temperatures but years of scientific research have found climate change is causing heatwaves to become longer, more frequent and more intense. The highest confirmed temperature ever recorded in India was 51C (123.8F), in Phalodi on the edge of Rajasthan's Thar Desert in 2016. Khosla, from Climate Trends, described heatwaves as "the single largest threat to India's well-being today", adding that recent high temperatures were "proof that the issue is now about survivability". No relief comes at night. A study published by New Delhi's Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) this month said Indian cities were not cooling down after sunset as much as they had in the decade of 2001-2010. It found temperatures then had dropped after dusk nearly 2C more than today. "Hot nights are as dangerous as midday peak temperatures," it said. "People get little chance to recover from daytime heat... exerting prolonged stress on the body." 'Caused by burning coal' Researchers say human-induced climate change has driven the devastating heat impact in India and should be taken as a warning. "The suffering India is facing this week is worse because of climate change, caused by burning coal, oil and gas and deforestation," said Friederike Otto, a climatologist at the Imperial College London and director of World Weather Attribution. The world's most populous nation is the third-biggest emitter of greenhouse gases but has committed to achieve a net zero emissions economy by 2070 -- two decades after most of the industrialised West. For now, it is overwhelmingly reliant on coal for power generation. The government under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, who is seeking a third term in ongoing elections, says the fossil fuel remains central to meeting India's rising energy needs and lifting millions out of poverty. "What we are seeing in India is exactly what scientists said would happen if we didn't stop heating the planet," Otto said.

Bihar Battles Blistering Heatwaves During Critical Election Days; Over 100 Students Faint Due to Heat

Thursday, May 30: While neighbouring Northeast India welcomes the refreshing onset of the monsoon, Bihar is grappling with a severe heatwave. As a result, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) issued a red alert for today (May 30) and an orange alert (May 31) for tomorrow. The relentless heat is not only scorching during the day but also stifling at night, with over a dozen districts experiencing unusually warm nights since early this week. High daytime temperatures are typical in Bihar's summer, but the alarming rise in nighttime temperatures is a new phenomenon, adding to the discomfort. Daytime temperatures have exceeded 45°C in some areas, providing little relief even after sunset. “IMD Patna has issued a red alert for Gaya, Aurangabad and Rohtas and an orange alert for hot nights in 14 districts, including Patna, on May 30. There was a similar alert for hot nights on May 29 and 28 in several districts". The state's disaster management department reported that heatwave conditions have claimed eight lives, including a police official, in the past 24 hours. Over 100 students from government-run schools fainted due to the extreme heat. In fact, there is no respite from the extreme heat forecast for May 30, 31, and June 1, the days when the seventh and final phase of the Lok Sabha elections will be held for eight of the 40 seats in the state. Chief Minister Nitish Kumar has ordered the closure of all government-run schools until June 8 following an outcry from parents and opposition parties regarding school timings during the heatwave. This decision highlights the inadequacies in implementing the Bihar Heat Action Plan (HAP), which mandates adjusting school timings by the end of May. Aurangabad recorded the state's highest temperature at 48.2°C on Wednesday, followed by 47.4°C in Gaya. Patna saw a high of 43°C with heatwave-like conditions. The extreme heat is breaking historical records, with Gaya recording its highest temperature to date at 47.4°C on May 29, 2024. Healthcare facilities are overwhelmed with heat-related cases. “The number of patients with sunstroke, dehydration, fever, and other symptoms due to high temperatures is increasing daily,” said a senior doctor at Gaya Medical College and Hospital. The extreme weather conditions are posing significant challenges, particularly for lower-income working-class people who must work outdoors. Multiple cases of students fainting at school were reported, sparking protests and roadblocks in some areas due to inadequate medical response. A recent study by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) noted that Indian cities, including Patna, are no longer cooling down at night as they did a decade ago. This study indicated a decrease in nighttime cooling across major cities over the past ten years.

India reports first heat-related death this year

A study published by New Delhi’s Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) this month said Indian cities were not cooling down at night as much as they had in the 2001-10 decade. It found the maximum temperature decline was nearly 2C (35.6F) smaller than previously. The highest confirmed temperature ever recorded in India was 51C (123.8F), in Phalodi on the edge of Rajasthan’s Thar Desert in 2016.

Indian cities no longer cooling down at night, finds CSE study

While cities used to cool down considerably at night, the study shows this nighttime cooling has significantly reduced in recent years. Photo for representation: iStock A new study by Delhi-based think tank Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) has revealed a dangerous trend in India’s biggest cities: Heat waves are becoming deadlier due to a combination of rising temperatures, increasing humidity and urban expansion. The research has also uncovered a worrying phenomenon: cities are not cooling down at night as much as they did during 2001-2010. The study, Decoding the Urban Heat Stress among Indian cities, analysed data from six major cities – Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Chennai and Bengaluru — over a period of 23 years (January 2001- April 2024). It found that while air temperatures haven’t risen significantly in some cities, increased humidity is worsening the heat stress people experience. Read more: Heat index is a critical tool to help beat heat stress Heat stress results from a combination of air temperature, land surface temperature, and relative humidity, causing acute thermal discomfort and increased heat-related diseases in cities. Even if air temperatures vary, high relative humidity and land surface temperatures exacerbate discomfort. The United States’ National Weather Service states that the heat index, which includes humidity, indicates how hot it feels, with a heat index of 41 degrees Celsius being dangerous for human health. Anumita Roychowdhury, executive director of research and advocacy at CSE, in a statement said: Assessing the changing trend in heat, relative humidity and land surface temperature along with day and nighttime temperatures is necessary to develop a comprehensive heat management plan for the urban centres. Further, this is needed to implement emergency measures during heatwaves to protect public health, and also to develop longer term strategies to mitigate heat by increasing green areas and waterbodies, improving thermal comfort in buildings and reducing waste heat from vehicles, air conditioners and industries, she added. “Addressing the combination of high heat and humidity is particularly important as this can compromise the human body’s main cooling mechanism: sweating. The evaporation of sweat from skin cools our bodies, but higher humidity levels limit this natural cooling,” said Avikal Somvanshi, senior programme manager, Urban Lab, CSE. Read more: Move over record air temperatures, Delhi’s scorched land surface is making waves As a result, people can suffer heat stress and illness, and the consequences can even be fatal even at much lower ambient temperatures. Interestingly, night time temperature is remaining elevated in cities, he added. The culprit behind rising humidity? Uncontrolled urban sprawl. The study found a direct correlation between an increase in built-up area and a rise in urban heat stress in all six cities. For example, Chennai have seen their green cover shrink by nearly 14 per cent in the last two decades, while concretisation has doubled. This trend is creating a vicious cycle. Concrete absorbs and retains heat, contributing to the “urban heat island effect” where cities are significantly warmer than surrounding areas. Hotter nights are another worrying finding. While cities used to cool down considerably at night, the study shows this nighttime cooling has significantly reduced in recent years. This means people get little respite from the daytime heat, further impacting their health. The consequences of this deadly combination are severe. The study highlighted a rise in the number of days with a heat index exceeding 41°C (considered dangerous for human health) in cities like Kolkata and Chennai. Additionally, monsoons are no longer providing relief, with some cities experiencing hotter and more humid conditions during this period compared to pre-monsoon months. Read more: The reality of living with 50℃ temperatures in our major cities The CSE study calls for urgent action to mitigate this growing threat, with several key recommendations. The researchers called for implementing city-specific heat management plans that go beyond just emergency response during heat waves and focusing on reducing heat generation from buildings, vehicles, and industries. The study also called for reversing land use by increasing green cover and water bodies in cities to create a cooling effect. Strengthening scientific monitoring of heat-related factors like land use and surface temperatures and developing emergency action plans to protect vulnerable populations during heat waves are also important, it pointed out.

Monsoon becomes hotter in megacities: Night-time cooling wanes but Calcutta offers some relief

The monsoon months have become hotter and night-time temperatures don’t fall as much as they used to in India’s megacities, a climate and environment think-tank said in a report on growing heat stress. The report released by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE), New Delhi, on Monday said that rising temperatures and relative humidity had worsened heat discomfort in all six megacities — Bengaluru, Calcutta, Chennai, Delhi, Hyderabad and Mumbai. ADVERTISEMENT The heat index — the combination of air temperatures and relative humidity — is rising faster than temperatures in all six cities, the CSE said in the report that analysed temperature and humidity patterns as well as urban land-use changes in the six cities since the early 2000s. Calcutta was the second hottest city with an average summer heat index of 36.5°C, with humidity impact measured to be 6.4°C between 2014 and 2023. Chennai was the hottest with a heat index of 37.4°C and humidity impact of 6.9°C, while Mumbai’s heat index of 34.3°C and humidity impact of 3.3°C was ranked third. ADVERTISEMENT Ads by “When we take into account humidity, heat discomfort levels have increased faster than the actual rise in temperatures,” Avikal Somvanshi, a researcher at the CSE who co-authored the report, told The Telegraph. The average summer temperature of the six cities increased by 0.01°C between the decades 2001-2010 and 2014-2023. In contrast, the average heat index of the six cities over the same periods increased by 0.8°C, or 80 times faster. The rising humidity has also impacted monsoon temperatures. Overall, the monsoon months have on average become 1°C hotter while the premonsoon months are on average 0.5°C hotter, measured through the heat index. The CSE analysis has shown that Calcutta stands out among the six megacities with its night-time temperatures cooling at the same rate during the 2014-2023 decade as they used to between 2001-2010. Calcutta’s night-time land surface temperatures continue to drop by about 6.2°C at night. But night-time cooling has waned in the other cities. Delhi’s nights, for instance, during 2014-2023 were cooler by just 11.2°C, or about 9 per cent below the 2001-2010 level. Nights in Bengaluru have cooled by 10.1°C, about 15 per cent down from the 2001-2010 cooling level. Mumbai nights are cooler by 7.8°C, or 24 per cent lower than the 2001-2010 level. Alongside a rise in temperatures and humidity, the six cities have all witnessed increases in their built-up area that contributes to what scientists call the urban heat island effect — the greater the built-up area, the higher the temperatures in the urban areas, compared to their relatively greener surrounding or rural areas.

More concrete, more heat: Why our cities are hotter than ever

Even as large parts of the country swelter in a brutally hot summer, with prolonged heat waves, a recently published report shows that rising temperatures is not the sole contributing factor to the heat stress being experienced in urban India. According to a report by the Centre for Science and Environment, the extreme discomfort of the summer months in Chennai, Mumbai, Delhi, Bengaluru, Kolkata and Hyderabad over the last two decades is caused by a combination of air temperature, land surface temperature and relative humidity, as well as a rapid increase in built-up areas and concretisation. It poses a grave risk to lives, especially among vulnerable groups like the elderly, babies, pregnant women, those who live in slums and work outdoors. This is the third straight year of severe heat waves in India, which have been far longer — over 10 days-long — this time than the usual four to eight days. Thanks to climate change, temperatures have shot up, as has humidity. But, as the CSE report points out, the effect of this — the moisture in the air keeps sweat from evaporating fast enough, making it seem even hotter than it actually is — is compounded by other factors, including changes in land use and the growing urban sprawl. This has resulted in the “urban heat island effect”: The trapping of heat due to a dense concentration of buildings, paved roads and other surfaces made of materials like concrete, glass and steel, results in higher temperatures in city centres than in the outlying areas. One alarming consequence of this is that summer nights now offer little respite from the searing heat of the day, with cities across climatic zones not cooling down at the rate they once did. This is a serious cause for concern as the heat stress continues to build, increasing the risk of heat-related illnesses and even death. All these factors would need to be taken into consideration for relief measures to be effective. While more than 20 states have worked with the NDMA to create heat action plans (HAP), most remain on paper. They are hampered by a lack of funding, granularity and a sustainable vision for transformation. There is a growing consensus among experts that city-specific management plans, which take into account local factors, are a far more effective response to heat waves. Such plans should prioritise green spaces and water bodies and target all heat generators, including vehicles, industries and concrete surfaces — an example is Ahmedabad’s Cool Roofs programme, which offers an affordable solution for the urban heat island effect. Along with emergency steps to be implemented during a heat event, long-term planning can keep cities from heating up excessively and save lives.

What's Behind Rising Temperatures In Delhi, Mumbai, Hyderabad And Other Metro Cities

A recent analysis of six megacities in India—Delhi, Mumbai, Kolkata, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, and Chennai—has revealed a concerning trend: nighttime temperatures are no longer cooling down at the same rate observed during 2001–10. This analysis, conducted by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE) between January 2001 and April 2024, has also identified factors exacerbating heat stress in urban areas.

Urbanisation led to 60 pc more night-time warming in Indian cities than non-urban areas: Study

New Delhi: Urbanization has led to nearly 60 per cent more night-time warming in over 140 prominent Indian cities compared to non-urban areas surrounding them, a new research from the Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar has found. According to the research, Ahmedabad, Jaipur and Rajkot had the highest urban effect, while Delhi-NCR and Pune were found to be at the fourth and fifth position, respectively. Urbanisation is known to be responsible for the urban heat island (UHI) effect, in which the concrete and asphalt (used in constructing roads and pavements) surfaces store heat during the day and release it in the evening, thereby raising night-time temperatures. Over time, this heat further affects other aspects of climate, including rainfall and pollution, researchers said in the study published in the journal Nature Cities. The study sought to determine how much urbanisation and local climate change each contributed to raising night-time temperatures over the past two decades (2003-2020). “The mean urban effect for all these cities across India was found to be 0.2 degrees Celsius per decade. This leads to an estimate of 37.73 per cent of the total urban warming being linked to urbanisation — that is, nearly 60 per cent enhancement of warming relative to the surrounding non-urban areas,” the authors wrote. They also found that cities in the northwestern, northeastern and southern regions showed a “more pronounced increase” in night-time temperatures than in the other parts of the country. However, the contribution of urbanisation towards night-time warming was higher in the eastern and central Indian cities, which are developing and thereby, undergoing rapid expansion, the researchers said. Almost all the cities, included in the analysis, showed rising night-time surface temperatures, which have increased by about 0.53 degrees Celsius on average every decade. Further, the trend of hotter night-time temperatures was not limited to the cities, as most of India warmed by 0.26 degrees Celsius on average every decade during the period studied, the researchers said. This indicated that cities were warming at almost double the rate at which the whole country was warming, they said. The authors explained that as cities are highly vulnerable to the combined effects of urbanisation and climate change, the people and the infrastructure in these areas are on the “frontlines” of climate change consequences, such as heatwaves, extreme weather events and flooding. They said the study highlighted the need for diverse mitigation efforts for effectively lowering the ongoing urban warming. According to an analysis by the Centre for Science and Environment (CSE), New Delhi, cities are not cooling down at night like they used to during 2001-2010 because they have “become more concretised in the last two decades” contributing to the rise in heat stress. They said that while increasing green cover can moderate day-time heat, it is ineffective for arresting night-time heat. According to the World Resources Institute (WRI) India Ross Center, seven out of 10 people around the world are projected to live in urban areas by 2050. While about 90 per cent of the growth is expected to happen in the Global South, a significant fraction of this will occur in India, it said. Currently, 36 per cent of India’s population, or about 40 crore, is urban and will double to 80 crore by 2050, according to the WRI India Ross Center. With India projected to become the fastest growing economy globally, and expected to witness the greatest urban growth, the latest findings could help urban planners and policymakers better allocate resources and understand the scale of planning required for building sustainable cities, the authors said.