Farm Fire Count Declining But Next Seven Days Key
The daily stubble burning count has started reducing in north India. Even Punjab and Haryana have seen a reduction of 31% and 46% in farm fires, respectively, between September 15 and November 17 compared with last year. In the normal course, crop stubble burning starts declining from November 15 and gets over by November 30. However, experts said a clear trend for this season would emerge after a few days. Satellites detected 966 farm fires in Punjab, 39 in Haryana and 50 in Uttar Pradesh on Thursday. However, the stubble burning counts were 2,647 in Punjab, 99 in Haryana and 36 in UP on November 12. Professor Vinay Sehgal, principal scientist and in-charge of Consortium for Research on Agroecosystem Monitoring and Modelling from Space laboratory at Indian Agricultural Research Institute (IARI) said, “Since per day counts have started reducing in Punjab, Haryana and Uttar Pradesh, peak burning season is over. Past data shows that stubble burning gets almost over in Punjab by November 20. We expect the same to happen this year too. The recommended date for sowing wheat is November 15, which is in progress in the states.” According to IARI, which follows the standard protocol 2021 notified by Commission for Air Quality Management in National Capital Region and Adjoining Areas, 47,788 paddy residue burning events were recorded in Punjab between September 15 and November 17 this year as against 69,445 during the same period in 2021 and 80,346 in 2020. Even in previous years, the per-day count in Punjab had crossed 5,000 on a few days. However, the highest per-day farm fires were 3,916 in this season. Between September 15 and November 17, Haryana recorded 3,272 paddy residue burning events in 2022, 6,094 in 2021 and 3,710 in 2020. Uttar Pradesh reported 1,555 farm fires in 2022, 2,763 in 2021 and 2,943 in 2020. Anumita Roychowdhury, executive director, research and advocacy, Centre for Science and Environment, said, “A clearer view of the stubble burning trend will emerge when the season is fully over. If the recorded number of fire incidents are lower than past years, it’s a sign that things are changing on the ground. However, efforts are needed to achieve scale of action to ensure near elimination of the problem for substantial improvement next year.” Gufran Beig, founder project director, System of Air Quality and Weather Forecasting And Research, said, “It’s yet to be seen if stubble burning extends this season.”
